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HURRICANE IRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001

...IRIS APPROACHING JAMAICA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO...AND FOR THE 
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI
FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO ANSE D HAINAULT.  THIS
WARNING WILL BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING.  
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED BY AN
AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 75.3 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...190 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
KINGSTON JAMAICA.

IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.  THIS MOTION SHOULD 
BRING THE HURRICANE NEAR...OR OVER...JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...OVER A SMALL AREA JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER.  SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM. 
 
THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE OF 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT JAMAICA TODAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE 
SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF IRIS.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...16.9 N... 75.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

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