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TROPICAL STORM IRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
 
...IRIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER...PARALLELING THE SOUTH COAST OF 
HAITI......HEADING FOR JAMAICA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO CABO BEATA...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO ANSE 
D HAINAULT.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND 
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO BARAHONA...BUT WILL 
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE 
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN 
EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. 

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST OR ABOUT 275 
MILES...450 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRIS WILL BE PASSING NEAR THE SOUTH 
COAST OF HAITI TODAY AND WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY SUNDAY. A 
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 
SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH 
HIGHER GUSTS.   IRIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE 
EARLIER TODAY WAS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. A NEW RECONNAISSANCE PLANE 
IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE AREA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA TODAY.

OUTER RAINBANDS ARE SPREADING OVER HISPANIOLA.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN
BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF IRIS.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...17.0 N... 72.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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