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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM AST FRI OCT 05 2001
 
...IRIS TURNS TO THE WEST...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA
FROM BARAHONA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO ANSE D HAINAULT HAITI.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO BARAHONA.  

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.  IT MAY BE
NECESSARY TO UPGRADE THIS TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A HURRICANE WATCH
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRIS WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.7 WEST OR ABOUT 240 
MILES...385 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN 
REPUBLIC. 
 
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS IRIS HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST
NEAR 18 MPH ...29 KM/HR.  A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE PROJECTED TRACK THE
CENTER OF IRIS IS EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE TO THE SOUTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...  95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IRIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE
WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

OUTER RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING OVER HISPANIOLA.  RAINFALL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN 
BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF IRIS.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...15.8 N... 67.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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