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HURRICANE IRIS ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001

...IRIS MOVING DUE WEST...HAS NOT STRENGTHEN...  

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF YUCATAN FROM
CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD AND FOR BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD.
THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNING TONIGHT.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF
HONDURAS AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS FROM LIMON WESTWARD.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR JAMAICA.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES...275
KM...SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH ..30 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS 
TRACK...THE CORE OF IRIS WILL BE PASSING WELL SOUTH OF GRAND CAYMAN 
TONIGHT AND HEADING TOWARD YUCATAN OR NORTHERN BELIZE.

DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT IRIS HAS NOT
STRENGTHEN AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HOWEVER...STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE 
PLANE WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.3 N... 79.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
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