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HURRICANE IRIS ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 06 2001
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO.  AT 10 PM
EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI
FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO ANSE D HAINAULT.  THIS
WARNINGS WILL BE LOWERED EARLY ON SUNDAY.  AT 11 PM EDT...ALL
WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.8 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...220 
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND A 
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.  THIS MOTION SHOULD 
BRING THE HURRICANE OVER...OR VERY NEAR...JAMAICA IN THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.
 
DATA FROM A U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT 
INDICATES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  
85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...OVER A SMALL AREA JUST 
NORTH OF THE CENTER.  SOME MORE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT JAMAICA ON SUNDAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHERN 
COAST OF HISPANIOLA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

RAIN CONTINUES OVER HAITI.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF ABOUT 4 INCHES... 
WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS ARE LIKELY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 74.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM 
EDT...SUNDAY.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE

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