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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI OCT 05 2001
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOOKS BETTER-ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE... 
HOWEVER...AIR FORCE PLANE WILL TELL.  
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO BEATA AND A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF CABO BEATA TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO
THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI...ANSE D HAINAULT.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  64.7 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES...440 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 
OF PONCE PUERTO RICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER. A 
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

SQUALLS WITH HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH  
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES. SQUALLS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE MAY OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO TODAY AS 
RAIN BANDS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.5 N... 64.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
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