HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 05 2001

...POORLY-DEFINED TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO
AND PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA LATER TODAY.  INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
63.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...260 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF ST.
VINCENT IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 350 MILES...
560 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH
...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

SQUALLS WITH HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS 
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH THIS MORNING.  ON THE PROJECTED 
PATH...OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE APPROACHING 
THE SOUTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.0 N... 63.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN