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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER  1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU OCT 04 2001

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORMS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE
60.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST VINCENT 
IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. 

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.  NO SIGNIFICANT
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1010 
MB...29.83 INCHES.
 
HEAVY SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES 
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...13.1 N... 60.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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