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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT FRI SEP 14 2001
 
...GABRIELLE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND
FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF
THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM
CHOKOLOSKEE TO TARPON SPRINGS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO ST.  AUGUSTINE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.6 WEST OR ABOUT
120 MILES...190 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
 
GABRIELLE IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH
...10 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST LATER TODAY.  HOWEVER...MOST OF THE WEATHER IS 
EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GABRIELLE TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT
REACHES THE COAST. DRY TORTUGAS RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 
44 MPH...70 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 51 MPH...83 KM/HR.  A RECONNAISSANCE 
PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA SHORTLY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH GABRIELLE ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE KEYS.  VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL...LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES...IS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND KEYS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  SOME
PARTS OF SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE ALREADY SATURATED...AND THERE
IS A SERIOUS FLOOD THREAT IN THESE AREAS.  CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICES FOR DETAILS.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS LIKELY NEAR AND 
TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.

THERE IS THE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA 
AND THE KEYS. 

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...25.7 N...84.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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