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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2001

...ERIN WEAKENS AS IT MOVES THROUGH A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST OR
ABOUT 280 MILES...455 KM...EAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS..

ERIN HAS DECREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE 
WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF 
ERIN AND MOST OF ITS ASSOCIATED WEATHER WILL BE PASSING WELL NORTH 
OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
ERIN HAS WEAKENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  LITTLE CHANGE 
IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 
1013 MB...29.91 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...18.3 N...  57.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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