HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2001

...ERIN CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO PASS 
NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 
ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.3 WEST 
OR ABOUT 300 MILES...480 KM...EAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN 
LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR... 
AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS
TRACK...ERIN SHOULD BE PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS 
LATER TODAY OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE ERIN LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...18.3 N... 57.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN