[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2001

...ERIN HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH-NORTHEAST OF 
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 55.4 WEST OR ABOUT 425
MILES...680 KM...EAST OF ANTIGUA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH ...26
KM/HR...AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS
TRACK..ERIN SHOULD BE PASSING WELL TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...  85 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE ERIN TOMORROW MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...17.6 N... 55.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...WEDNESDAY.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


Problems?