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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2001
 
...ERIN POORLY ORGANIZED...EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD 
ISLANDS...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...
800 KM...EAST OF ANTIGUA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A GRADUAL 
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A DECREASE IN 
FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS TRACK...ERIN SHOULD BE PASSING WELL NORTH OF 
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA TOMORROW 
MORNING. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 54.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
  
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