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TROPICAL STORM DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM AST THU AUG 23 2001

...DEAN REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL 
ACROSS PUERTO RICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
INCLUDING ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...
MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST 
OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK. THIS IS 
ALSO ABOUT 245 MILES...395 KM...NORTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30KM/HR... 
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN 
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER 
OF DEAN WOULD BE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE 
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH 
HIGHER GUSTS  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

RAINBANDS TRAILING DEAN WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...AND 
GUSTY WINDS OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO THROUGH 
THIS MORNING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS MAY OCCUR OVER PUERTO RICO...
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...20.6 N... 68.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 AM AST. 

FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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