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TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED AUG 22 2001

...DEAN POORLY-ORGANIZED BUT PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IN PUERTO 
RICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
INCLUDING ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...
MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 68.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 185 MILES...295 KM...NORTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TO CONTINUE WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEAN WOULD BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

RAINBANDS TRAILING DEAN WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...AND GUSTY
WINDS OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE NIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS MAY OCCUR OVER PUERTO RICO...
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...20.2 N... 68.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST...THURSDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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