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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2001

...POORLY-DEFINED CHANTAL NEAR THE WESTERN YUCATAN COAST...MORE
HEAVY RAINFALL IN STORE FOR YUCATAN AND BELIZE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM CAMPECHE SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF CARMEN TO VERACRUZ.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE
91.6 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CARMEN 
MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND 
THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS 
TRACK...CHANTAL WOULD EMERGE INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF 
MEXICO LATER TODAY.  HOWEVER...RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
PRELIMINARY REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT SUGGEST THE CENTER MAY BE FURTHER INLAND TO THE SOUTHWEST
OF THE CURRENT ESTIMATED POSITION.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER.  SOME STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
HOWEVER...IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND THEN DISSIPATION IS LIKELY
LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE GULF COAST OF YUCATAN LATER TODAY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
NEAR THE PATH OF CHANTAL.  ALSO...HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES 
AND LOCALIZED FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN BELIZE... AND PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO.  
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.7 N... 91.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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