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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001

...CHANTAL NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...

PRELIMINARY REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATE THAT CHANTAL IS 
INTENSIFYING. 

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUE IN EFFECT
FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR JAMAICA...BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE...AND FOR THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST OR 
ABOUT OR ABOUT 280 MILES...440 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN 
ISLAND. 
 
CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND 
TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CHANTAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST FROM THE CENTER. 

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. 

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...15.7 N...  79.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  70
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  994 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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