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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001

...CHANTAL ON A WESTWARD TRACK WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  
72.8 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...540 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON 
JAMAICA.  
 
CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND A
GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHANTAL WILL BE PASSING TO 
THE SOUTH OR NEAR JAMAICA LATER TONIGHT AND THEN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS 
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
CHANTAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS STORM. 
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...14.9 N...  72.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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