HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001

...CHANTAL CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BELIZE CITY BELIZE NORTHWARD TO
CANCUN MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE
SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY.  A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT CHANTAL REMAINS DISORGANIZED.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE VERY POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM CHANTAL WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES...715 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CHETUMAL MEXICO.

CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH ...26
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT 
SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. 

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...16.5 N...  82.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 
70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN