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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
 
...CHANTAL BECOMING DISORGANIZED...NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY 
TODAY... 
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR JAMAICA...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS 
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.9 WEST OR ABOUT 
280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR...AND THIS 
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS 
TRACK CHANTAL WILL BE PASSING TO THE SOUTH OR NEAR JAMAICA LATER 
TODAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. 
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...15.0 N...  73.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 24 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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