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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED AUG 15 2001

...DEPRESSION RACING WESTWARD TOWARD THE WINDWARDS... 
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST.
LUCIA.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.2 WEST OR 
ABOUT 625 MILES...1005 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS. 
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 26 MPH ...
43 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WILL BE NEARING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATE TOMORROW NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONDITIONS FAVOR STRENGTHENING...AND THE DEPRESSION IS 
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.6 N...  50.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 26 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST...THURSDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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