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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED AUG 15 2001
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...HEADING FOR THE 
LESSER ANTILLES...  

ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.  A TROPICAL STORM OR A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AS EARLY AS TONIGHT.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE
47.2 WEST OR ABOUT 825 MILES...1330 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR AND 
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON 
THIS TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE APPROACHING THE LESSER 
ANTILLES IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.5 N... 47.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
11 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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