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TROPICAL STORM OLGA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI NOV 30 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST MON DEC 3 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.8N 70.0W 62 X X X 62 MYMM 224N 730W X 19 2 1 22
23.5N 71.5W 30 9 X X 39 MYSM 241N 745W X 11 5 3 19
23.5N 73.0W 2 21 1 1 25 MYEG 235N 758W X 2 9 5 16
MTPP 186N 724W X X 2 2 4 MYAK 241N 776W X X 4 8 12
MTCA 183N 738W X X 2 3 5 MYNN 251N 775W X X 3 8 11
MKJP 179N 768W X X 1 5 6 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 6 6
MKJS 185N 779W X X 1 6 7 MARATHON FL X X X 4 4
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 4 4 MIAMI FL X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X 1 6 4 11 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 4 4
MUCM 214N 779W X X 3 8 11 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 6 6 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 3 3 KEY WEST FL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 3 3 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2
MDPP 198N 707W X 2 1 1 4 FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W 2 12 1 1 16
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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