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TROPICAL STORM NOEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE NOV 06 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 42.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI NOV  9 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
50.2N  48.0W      27  X  X  X 27   HIBERNIA OILFLD   37  X  X  X 37
CAPE RACE NFLD     3  X  X  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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