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HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST MON NOV 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM EST THU NOV  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.0N  72.1W      28  2  X  X 30   MYEG 235N 758W    35  X  X  X 35
28.0N  68.0W       1 15  2  1 19   MYAK 241N 776W    99  X  X  X 99
30.0N  64.0W       X  2  9  2 13   MYNN 251N 775W    99  X  X  X 99
MBJT 215N 712W     X  3  1  1  5   MYGF 266N 787W     2  X  X  X  2
MYMM 224N 730W     3  4  1  X  8   BERMUDA            X  1  8  3 12
MYSM 241N 745W    37  X  X  X 37   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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