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HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST MON NOV 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM EST THU NOV  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.5N  74.1W      34  5  X  X 39   MYAK 241N 776W    78  X  X  X 78
28.0N  70.1W       X 20  5  X 25   MYNN 251N 775W    70  X  X  X 70
30.2N  65.4W       X  X 12  4 16   MYGF 266N 787W     7  X  X  X  7
MUCF 221N 805W    24  X  X  X 24   BERMUDA            X  X  7  7 14
MBJT 215N 712W     X  1  X  1  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W     1  3  X  X  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W    27  3  X  X 30   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W    31  X  X  X 31
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
C FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
D FROM  1AM WED TO  1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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