[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST SUN NOV 04 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM EST WED NOV  7 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.3N  78.9W      45  2  X  X 47   MYNN 251N 775W    24 16  X  X 40
26.5N  74.5W       X 22  3  X 25   MYGF 266N 787W     9 18  X  X 27
29.0N  70.0W       X  X 13  3 16   BERMUDA            X  X  X 11 11
MUCM 214N 779W     7  3  X  X 10   MARATHON FL       31  1  X  X 32
MUCF 221N 805W    71  X  X  X 71   MIAMI FL          20  6  X  X 26
MUSN 216N 826W    99  X  X  X 99   W PALM BEACH FL    6  9  X  X 15
MUHA 230N 824W    43  X  X  X 43   FT PIERCE FL       1  5  X  X  6
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  2  X  2   COCOA BEACH FL     X  2  X  X  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  3  3  X  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X 17  2  X 19   KEY WEST FL       23  1  X  X 24
MYEG 235N 758W     4 19  X  X 23   MARCO ISLAND FL    5  2  X  X  7
MYAK 241N 776W    31  9  X  X 40   FT MYERS FL        1  1  X  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
C FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
D FROM  7AM TUE TO  7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Problems?