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HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST SAT NOV 03 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM EST TUE NOV 6 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.3N 83.6W 48 X X X 48 MYGF 266N 787W X X 6 11 17
22.4N 82.4W 16 13 1 X 30 MARATHON FL X 11 9 2 22
23.3N 80.5W X 12 9 1 22 MIAMI FL X 2 13 4 19
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 2 2 W PALM BEACH FL X X 10 7 17
MKJS 185N 779W X X 1 3 4 FT PIERCE FL X X 6 9 15
MWCG 193N 814W 4 6 2 X 12 COCOA BEACH FL X X 4 9 13
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 5 5 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 8 9
MUCM 214N 779W X X 6 7 13 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 5 5
MUCF 221N 805W X 13 7 1 21 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W 28 4 X X 32 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W 9 19 1 X 29 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 28 1 X X 29 KEY WEST FL X 16 6 1 23
MMCZ 205N 869W 1 1 X X 2 MARCO ISLAND FL X 5 10 3 18
MDPP 198N 707W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL X 2 10 4 16
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 4 4 VENICE FL X 1 8 4 13
MYMM 224N 730W X X X 8 8 TAMPA FL X X 4 6 10
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 12 12 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 5 6
MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 13 14 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X 7 10 17 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X X 5 12 17 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
C FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
D FROM 7AM MON TO 7AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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