ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST FRI NOV 02 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM EST MON NOV 5 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.0N 84.0W 50 X X X 50 MARATHON FL X 3 13 4 20
22.0N 83.5W 28 4 X X 32 MIAMI FL X X 9 9 18
23.0N 82.0W 1 15 6 1 23 W PALM BEACH FL X X 5 11 16
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 2 2 FT PIERCE FL X X 3 12 15
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 3 3 COCOA BEACH FL X X 2 11 13
MWCG 193N 814W 4 4 2 2 12 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 9 10
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 4 4 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 6 6
MUCM 214N 779W X X 2 9 11 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X 5 10 3 18 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2
MUSN 216N 826W 19 6 1 X 26 KEY WEST FL X 7 12 3 22
MUHA 230N 824W 3 17 4 1 25 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 12 5 18
MUAN 219N 850W 29 1 X X 30 FT MYERS FL X 1 10 6 17
MMCZ 205N 869W 3 2 1 1 7 VENICE FL X X 9 6 15
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL X X 5 7 12
MYMM 224N 730W X X X 5 5 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 8 9
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 10 10 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 11 11 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 4 4
MYAK 241N 776W X X 2 13 15 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 14 15 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 5 6
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 13 15 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
C FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
D FROM 7PM SUN TO 7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Problems?