ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST FRI NOV 02 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM EST MON NOV 5 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.6N 84.1W 55 X X X 55 MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 2 3
20.7N 84.0W 31 X 1 X 32 MARATHON FL X 1 6 8 15
21.5N 83.5W 16 9 1 1 27 MIAMI FL X X 2 9 11
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 2 2 W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 8 9
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 4 4 FT PIERCE FL X X X 8 8
MWCG 193N 814W 6 5 2 3 16 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 6 6
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 2 2 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 8 8 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X 2 6 7 15 KEY WEST FL X 2 8 6 16
MUSN 216N 826W 7 11 3 2 23 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 9 13
MUHA 230N 824W X 11 5 4 20 FT MYERS FL X X 3 9 12
MUAN 219N 850W 13 10 1 1 25 VENICE FL X X 3 8 11
MMCZ 205N 869W 5 6 3 1 15 TAMPA FL X X 1 7 8
MZBZ 175N 883W X X 1 1 2 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 5 5
MHNJ 165N 859W X 2 1 2 5 ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 4 4
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 4 4 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 85W X X X 5 5
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 7 7 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
C FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
D FROM 7AM SUN TO 7AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}