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TROPICAL STORM MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST THU NOV 01 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM EST SUN NOV 4 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.0N 84.1W 48 X X X 48 MIAMI FL X X 1 7 8
20.0N 84.2W 26 1 1 1 29 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 6 6
21.1N 84.1W 11 11 1 2 25 FT PIERCE FL X X X 5 5
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 2 2 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 3 3 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W 5 4 3 3 15 KEY WEST FL X X 5 8 13
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 5 5 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 2 8 10
MUCF 221N 805W X 1 4 7 12 FT MYERS FL X X 1 8 9
MUSN 216N 826W 1 11 4 3 19 VENICE FL X X 1 7 8
MUHA 230N 824W X 5 7 5 17 TAMPA FL X X X 6 6
MUAN 219N 850W 4 14 3 1 22 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W 5 6 3 3 17 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
MZBZ 175N 883W X X 1 3 4 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MHNJ 165N 859W 1 3 2 2 8 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MNPC 141N 834W X X 1 1 2 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W X X X 5 5
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 89W X X X 4 4
MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X X 3 8 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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