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TROPICAL STORM MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST THU NOV 01 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM EST SUN NOV 4 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.4N 84.3W 57 X X X 57 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2
19.3N 84.5W 36 1 X X 37 MMFR 185N 926W X X X 2 2
20.0N 84.5W 24 3 X 1 28 MMMD 210N 897W X 1 3 7 11
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 MARATHON FL X X 1 7 8
MWCG 193N 814W 6 4 2 3 15 MIAMI FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 4 4 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X 1 3 6 10 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2
MUSN 216N 826W 2 8 4 4 18 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X 3 6 5 14 KEY WEST FL X X 3 7 10
MUAN 219N 850W 3 12 4 2 21 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 5 6
MMCZ 205N 869W 4 10 4 2 20 FT MYERS FL X X X 5 5
MZBZ 175N 883W X 3 4 4 11 VENICE FL X X X 5 5
MGPB 157N 886W X X 2 3 5 TAMPA FL X X X 3 3
MHNJ 165N 859W 16 1 1 1 19 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
MNPC 141N 834W X 1 X 2 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM FRI TO 1PM FRI
C FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
D FROM 1AM SAT TO 1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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