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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST WED OCT 31 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM EST SAT NOV 3 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
16.9N 83.8W 60 X X X 60 MHNJ 165N 859W 9 4 3 1 17
17.9N 84.2W 34 X 1 X 35 MNPC 141N 834W 99 X X X 99
18.8N 84.5W 18 9 1 1 29 MMFR 185N 926W X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 3 3 MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 8 9
MWCG 193N 814W X 6 4 4 14 MARATHON FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 3 3 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X 2 6 8 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MUSN 216N 826W X 3 7 5 15 KEY WEST FL X X 1 6 7
MUHA 230N 824W X X 4 7 11 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W X 5 8 4 17 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W X 6 7 5 18 VENICE FL X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W X 1 4 5 10 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 4 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM THU TO 1AM FRI
C FROM 1AM FRI TO 1PM FRI
D FROM 1PM FRI TO 1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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