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TROPICAL STORM LORENZO PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST MON OCT 29 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM EST THU NOV 1 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.9N 45.4W 27 2 X X 29 41.0N 38.0W X 1 13 X 14
36.3N 42.5W X 18 4 X 22
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED
C FROM 7AM WED TO 7PM WED
D FROM 7PM WED TO 7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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