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HURRICANE KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN OCT 14 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED OCT 17 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
42.8N  62.0W      26  X  X  X 26   SABLE ISLAND NS   13  4  X  1 18
45.3N  61.2W       9  7  1  X 17   SYDNEY NS          3 10  2  1 16
48.0N  58.0W       X  6  6  2 14   EDDY POINT NS      8  7  2  X 17
BAR HARBOR ME      1  2  1  X  4   PTX BASQUES NFLD   1  8  4  2 15
EASTPORT ME        2  5  1  X  8   BURGEO NFLD        X  6  6  2 14
ST JOHN NB         4  6  X  1 11   ILE ST PIERRE      X  5  5  3 13
MONCTON NB         3  8  1  1 13   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  1  4  5 10
YARMOUTH NS        7  4  X  1 12   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  5  6
HALIFAX NS        13  4  X  1 18
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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