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HURRICANE KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT WED OCT 17 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
42.6N 63.2W 26 X X 1 27 YARMOUTH NS 11 5 1 X 17
45.3N 62.7W 6 12 1 1 20 HALIFAX NS 11 8 1 X 20
48.0N 59.0W X 6 9 1 16 SABLE ISLAND NS 8 7 2 X 17
NANTUCKET MA 1 1 X X 2 SYDNEY NS 1 11 5 1 18
HYANNIS MA 1 1 X X 2 EDDY POINT NS 4 12 3 X 19
PORTLAND ME 1 1 1 X 3 PTX BASQUES NFLD X 7 8 2 17
BAR HARBOR ME 2 6 1 X 9 BURGEO NFLD X 4 9 2 15
EASTPORT ME 4 8 1 1 14 ILE ST PIERRE X 2 7 3 12
ST JOHN NB 4 11 1 X 16 CAPE RACE NFLD X X 3 6 9
MONCTON NB 3 13 1 1 18 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
C FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
D FROM 2AM TUE TO 2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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