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HURRICANE KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
41.0N 63.4W 38 X X 1 39 YARMOUTH NS 4 10 1 X 15
43.1N 63.2W 15 4 1 1 21 HALIFAX NS 4 11 2 1 18
46.0N 61.0W X 8 6 2 16 SABLE ISLAND NS 2 8 3 2 15
NANTUCKET MA X 2 1 1 4 SYDNEY NS X 6 6 3 15
HYANNIS MA X 2 1 X 3 EDDY POINT NS 1 9 5 1 16
BOSTON MA X 1 1 X 2 PTX BASQUES NFLD X 2 7 4 13
PORTLAND ME X 2 2 X 4 BURGEO NFLD X 1 5 5 11
BAR HARBOR ME X 6 3 1 10 ILE ST PIERRE X X 4 6 10
EASTPORT ME 1 9 2 1 13 CAPE RACE NFLD X X 1 6 7
ST JOHN NB 1 10 3 1 15 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 3 3
MONCTON NB X 11 3 1 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
C FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
D FROM 8PM MON TO 8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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