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HURRICANE KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.7N  64.4W      34  X  X  X 34   EASTPORT ME        X  4  5  4 13
40.9N  64.2W      18  3  1  X 22   ST JOHN NB         X  3  5  4 12
42.0N  64.0W       8  6  2  2 18   MONCTON NB         X  1  4  6 11
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  1  2   YARMOUTH NS        1  7  4  3 15
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  2  2  1  5   HALIFAX NS         X  4  4  4 12
PROVIDENCE RI      X  3  2  2  7   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  1  3  5  9
NANTUCKET MA       1  5  3  1 10   SYDNEY NS          X  X  1  6  7
HYANNIS MA         1  5  2  2 10   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  2  6  9
BOSTON MA          X  4  2  2  8   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  4  4
PORTLAND ME        X  4  3  3 10   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  3  3
BAR HARBOR ME      X  5  4  3 12   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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