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TROPICAL STORM KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE OCT 16 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
41.0N  62.5W      23  1  X  X 24   SABLE ISLAND NS    1 13  3  X 17
43.5N  61.0W       2 15  1  X 18   SYDNEY NS          X  8  6  1 15
46.0N  59.0W       X  7  6  2 15   EDDY POINT NS      X 12  3  1 16
BAR HARBOR ME      X  2  1  1  4   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  3  8  3 14
EASTPORT ME        1  4  1  1  7   BURGEO NFLD        X  1  9  3 13
ST JOHN NB         X  7  2  1 10   ILE ST PIERRE      X  1  7  4 12
MONCTON NB         X  8  3  1 12   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  3  6  9
YARMOUTH NS        3  7  X  1 11   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  4  4
HALIFAX NS         1 13  1  1 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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