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TROPICAL STORM KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE OCT 16 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.8N  63.6W      31  X  1  X 32   ST JOHN NB         X  2  4  3  9
39.6N  62.5W      11  4  1  2 18   MONCTON NB         X  2  3  4  9
41.5N  60.8W       1  7  3  3 14   YARMOUTH NS        X  4  3  3 10
BERMUDA            X  3  1  1  5   HALIFAX NS         X  4  4  3 11
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  1  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  3  4  5 12
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  X  1  2   SYDNEY NS          X  1  3  6 10
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  1  1  4   EDDY POINT NS      X  2  4  5 11
HYANNIS MA         X  1  2  1  4   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  6  8
BOSTON MA          X  1  1  1  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  2  5  7
PORTLAND ME        X  1  1  1  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  1  6  7
BAR HARBOR ME      X  2  2  2  6   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  4  4
EASTPORT ME        X  2  3  3  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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