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TROPICAL STORM JERRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 08 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU OCT 11 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.6N 67.1W 52 X X X 52 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 5 5
16.4N 69.4W 8 29 X X 37 MUGM 200N 751W X X 3 16 19
17.0N 71.5W X 16 11 1 28 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 13 13
SKPG 125N 717W X 1 2 2 5 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 6 6
TNCC 122N 690W X 2 1 X 3 MUSN 216N 826W X X X 2 2
TGPY 120N 618W 10 X X X 10 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2
TVSV 131N 612W 99 X X X 99 TJSJ 184N 661W 11 5 X X 16
TLPL 138N 610W 99 X X X 99 MDPP 198N 707W X 5 12 2 19
TFFF 146N 610W 40 X X X 40 MBJT 215N 712W X X 6 4 10
TDPR 153N 614W 35 X X X 35 MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 8 9
TISX 177N 648W 15 1 X X 16 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 4 4
TIST 183N 650W 6 1 X X 7 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 7 7
TJPS 180N 666W 20 5 X X 25 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 5 5
MDSD 185N 697W X 23 3 1 27 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2
MDCB 176N 714W X 15 12 1 28 ST CROIX VI 15 1 X X 16
MTPP 186N 724W X 3 19 3 25 ST THOMAS VI 6 1 X X 7
MTCA 183N 738W X X 15 9 24 SAN JUAN PR 11 5 X X 16
MKJP 179N 768W X X 1 16 17 PONCE PR 20 5 X X 25
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 15 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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