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TROPICAL STORM JERRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN OCT 07 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST WED OCT 10 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
14.8N 65.1W 51 X X X 51 MDCB 176N 714W X 1 18 6 25
15.5N 67.5W 7 29 X X 36 MTPP 186N 724W X X 10 13 23
16.2N 69.8W X 13 15 1 29 MTCA 183N 738W X X 3 18 21
SKPG 125N 717W X X 3 5 8 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 13 13
TNCC 122N 690W X 3 6 1 10 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 9 9
TGPY 120N 618W 15 X X X 15 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 17 17
TBPB 131N 595W 99 X X X 99 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 8 8
TVSV 131N 612W 99 X X X 99 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2
TLPL 138N 610W 99 X X X 99 TJSJ 184N 661W 1 15 1 X 17
TFFF 146N 610W 92 X X X 92 MDPP 198N 707W X X 12 6 18
TDPR 153N 614W 63 X X X 63 MBJT 215N 712W X X 2 9 11
TFFR 163N 615W 9 1 X X 10 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 9 9
TAPA 171N 618W 2 X X X 2 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 3 3
TKPK 173N 627W 6 1 X X 7 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 5 5
TNCM 181N 631W 2 1 X X 3 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2
TISX 177N 648W 9 9 X 1 19 ST CROIX VI 9 9 X 1 19
TIST 183N 650W 3 9 X 1 13 ST THOMAS VI 3 9 X 1 13
TJPS 180N 666W 1 21 1 X 23 SAN JUAN PR 1 15 1 X 17
MDSD 185N 697W X 5 17 2 24 PONCE PR 1 21 1 X 23
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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