ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT WED OCT 10 2001 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.4N 86.7W 44 1 X X 45 MMSO 238N 982W X X X 5 5 17.3N 89.8W 2 30 1 X 33 MMTM 222N 979W X X X 10 10 17.2N 93.0W X 5 20 1 26 MMTX 210N 974W X X 1 13 14 MWCG 193N 814W 12 X X X 12 MMVR 192N 961W X X 9 11 20 MMCZ 205N 869W 6 10 X X 16 MMFR 185N 926W X 8 20 1 29 MZBZ 175N 883W 23 15 X 1 39 MMMD 210N 897W X 10 5 X 15 MGPB 157N 886W 6 14 X X 20 GULF 25N 96W X X X 2 2 MHNJ 165N 859W 35 X X X 35 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER LAWRENCE NNNN