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HURRICANE IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED OCT 10 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.0N  85.5W      49  X  X  X 49   MHNJ 165N 859W    23  3  1  X 27
18.0N  88.5W       2 32  1  X 35   MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  7  7
18.0N  91.5W       X  6 21  1 28   MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X 12 12
MKJS 185N 779W    15  X  X  X 15   MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X 15 15
MWCG 193N 814W    38  X  X  X 38   MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  2 17 19
MUAN 219N 850W     2  3  X  X  5   MMFR 185N 926W     X  1 23  2 26
MMCZ 205N 869W     5 22  X  X 27   MMMD 210N 897W     X 13 10  X 23
MZBZ 175N 883W     3 29  1  X 33   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X 13  3  X 16   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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