ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT WED OCT 10 2001 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 18.5N 83.0W 46 1 X X 47 MGPB 157N 886W X 1 8 3 12 18.5N 86.0W 2 32 X X 34 MHNJ 165N 859W 1 13 3 X 17 18.5N 89.0W X 6 20 1 27 MMSO 238N 982W X X X 3 3 MKJP 179N 768W 99 X X X 99 MMTM 222N 979W X X X 5 5 MKJS 185N 779W 76 X X X 76 MMTX 210N 974W X X X 7 7 MWCG 193N 814W 53 X X X 53 MMVR 192N 961W X X X 10 10 MUSN 216N 826W 6 8 X X 14 MMFR 185N 926W X X 6 13 19 MUAN 219N 850W X 12 3 X 15 MMMD 210N 897W X 1 18 3 22 MMCZ 205N 869W X 20 8 X 28 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2 MZBZ 175N 883W X 10 14 1 25 GULF 25N 96W X X X 5 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA NNNN