HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED OCT 10 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.3N  80.7W      47  X  X  X 47   MUHA 230N 824W     X  2  3  X  5
18.5N  83.5W       6 28  X  X 34   MUAN 219N 850W     X  5 11  2 18
18.5N  86.0W       X 14 12  1 27   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  3 19  2 24
MKJP 179N 768W    89  X  X  X 89   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X 13  6 19
MKJS 185N 779W    68  X  X  X 68   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  3  9 12
MWCG 193N 814W    36  5  X  X 41   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  5  9  3 17
MUCM 214N 779W     1  1  X  X  2   MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     1  4  1  X  6   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X 12 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X 15  2  X 17   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  5 14 19
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN