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TROPICAL STORM IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE OCT  9 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.5N  76.5W      47  X  X  1 48   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  7 13 20
19.0N  79.5W       3 31  X  1 35   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  2 15 17
19.5N  82.0W       X 12 14  1 27   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  8  8
MDCB 176N 714W    99  X  X  X 99   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  3  3
MTPP 186N 724W    50  X  X  X 50   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  1  8  9
MTCA 183N 738W    69  X  X  X 69   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W    40  1  X  X 41   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  1  2
MKJS 185N 779W    29 10  X  X 39   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X 10 10
MWCG 193N 814W     X 20  8  X 28   MARATHON FL        X  X  2  4  6
MUGM 200N 751W    32  1  X  X 33   KEY WEST FL        X  X  2  6  8
MUCM 214N 779W     1 20  X  1 22   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  6 12  1 19   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1 18  4 23   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X 11  5 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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