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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI OCT 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON OCT  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.3N  70.0W      48  X  X  X 48   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3
17.0N  72.5W       7 27  X  X 34   MDPP 198N 707W     X 13  2  X 15
17.5N  75.0W       X 14 13  1 28   MBJT 215N 712W     X  2  3  X  5
TJPS 180N 666W     6  X  X  X  6   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  4  2  6
MDSD 185N 697W    15  9  X  X 24   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  4  4
MDCB 176N 714W    16 20  X  X 36   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  7  8
MTPP 186N 724W     1 28  1  X 30   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  8  8
MTCA 183N 738W     X 24  6  X 30   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJP 179N 768W     X  1 19  4 24   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 12 10 22   PONCE PR           6  X  X  X  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 13 13   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUGM 200N 751W     X  2 19  2 23   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  4 13 17   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 13 13   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  9  9   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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