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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON OCT  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.0N  68.2W      52  X  X  X 52   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  5  5
16.9N  70.7W       7 31  X  X 38   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4
17.5N  73.2W       X 13 17  X 30   TJSJ 184N 661W     6  1  X  X  7
SKPG 125N 717W     X  1  1  2  4   MDPP 198N 707W     X 16  5  X 21
TISX 177N 648W     3  X  X  X  3   MBJT 215N 712W     X  2  5  2  9
TJPS 180N 666W    19  2  X  X 21   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  4  5  9
MDSD 185N 697W     7 24  X  X 31   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  4  4
MDCB 176N 714W     1 32  2  1 36   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  9  9
MTPP 186N 724W     X 19 12  X 31   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  8  8
MTCA 183N 738W     X  5 23  1 29   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  5 16 21   ST CROIX VI        3  X  X  X  3
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1 18 19   SAN JUAN PR        6  1  X  X  7
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  9  9   PONCE PR          19  2  X  X 21
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X 15  8 23   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1 16 17   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 11 11   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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