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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU OCT 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SUN OCT 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.8N 67.1W 50 X X X 50 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 15 15
16.9N 69.5W 7 28 X X 35 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 8 8
17.5N 72.0W X 13 14 1 28 MUSN 216N 826W X X X 2 2
SKPG 125N 717W X X 1 2 3 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2
TNCC 122N 690W X 1 X 1 2 TJSJ 184N 661W 15 5 X X 20
TVSV 131N 612W 99 X X X 99 MDPP 198N 707W X 10 11 1 22
TLPL 138N 610W 99 X X X 99 MBJT 215N 712W X 1 8 3 12
TFFF 146N 610W 81 X X X 81 MYMM 224N 730W X X 3 8 11
TDPR 153N 614W 17 X X X 17 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 6 6
TISX 177N 648W 16 1 X X 17 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 10 10
TIST 183N 650W 8 2 X X 10 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 8 8
TJPS 180N 666W 24 5 X X 29 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 5 5
MDSD 185N 697W 1 26 2 1 30 ST CROIX VI 16 1 X X 17
MDCB 176N 714W X 20 9 1 30 ST THOMAS VI 8 2 X X 10
MTPP 186N 724W X 6 19 2 27 SAN JUAN PR 15 5 X X 20
MTCA 183N 738W X 1 18 5 24 PONCE PR 24 5 X X 29
MKJP 179N 768W X X 2 16 18 MARATHON FL X X X 3 3
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 16 16 MIAMI FL X X X 2 2
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 5 5 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MUGM 200N 751W X X 7 14 21
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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